Re: [IAC#RG] Lockdown 4.0 : Incompetent relaxations designed to spread disease

Tuesday, May 19, 2020

Re: [IAC#RG] Lockdown 4.0 : Incompetent relaxations designed to spread disease

Dear Mr Ravi Kapoor,

Request if you can avoid using such language "RASCAL SCIENTIFICALLY ILLITERATE "PROSTITUTE" IAS officers" and still make your point.

Regards

Narendra

On Mon, May 18, 2020 at 3:15 AM ravi kapoor <indiaresists@lists.riseup.net> wrote:

To all IAC-ians

Now that Central Govt. has thrown in the towel in the fight against COVID-19 and handed over the responsibility to the States, I can make the following SCIENTIFIC observations (see attached images at end of my email)

1. Mr. Modi has obviously realised that this virus is going to run for at least another 2 months and he has nothing new left to say. (Other members have already commented on how hollow and full of bombastic rhetoric his past 2 speeches have been).

2. Mr. Modi has also realised that its better to be like Rahul Gandhi and take potshots at opposition Governments from a distance for failing to control COVID-19 without taking responsibility.

3. That India's official (but rigged and downplayed) numbers have reached 5,000+ new infections per day (screen shot attached).

4. That our proprietary AI-driven indicators at IIM Ahmedabad show that the USA achieved its infection peak on 10-April-2020 and the number of daily infections is dropping daily there (albeit slowly) for the past 45 days. In India, the peak is still some time away (however, India's official statistics cannot be trusted and are downplayed, like China does, by a factor of at least 12 through systematic incentivization to downplay cases and deaths)

5. The recent Data driven research from the USA (New York) shows that there are 20 asymptomatic infections for every reported case. In New York, the most badly affected metro city of USA, rapid antibody tests there estimate that 20% of the population is infected. Similar (very confidential tests under NCDC using controversial Chinese rapid kits) mass tests carried out in Mumbai's slums of Dharavi, Antop Hill, Mohammed Ali Road, Lower Parel areas etc recently show that only 4% of the population is asymptomatic or has encountered the virus.This is disturbing because it shows India is very far away from the herd immunity levels of 65-70% infections needed.

CONCLUSION : The USA has adopted a strategic policy of ACCELERATING the spread of the virus and they could achieve "PEAK" transmission in only 22 days of Phase-2. In India despite 70 days of painful Lockdown we will not achieve PEAK. After 45 days of PEAK (on 10-April-2020) and with a sustained DECLINE in transmission rate the USA can consider easing up on (nominal) Lockdown restrictions and open their country up. On the other hand the RASCAL SCIENTIFICALLY ILLITERATE "PROSTITUTE" IAS officers in MHA and MoHFW are relaxing restrictions and opening up the Indian workplaces when the disease is at the early stages of the most dangerous and prolonged stage 3 and is ACCELERATING STEEPLY.

God save this country from such IAS fools in our Ministries. What "steel frame" is this IAS, when they are as weak as rubber bands ?

Ravi

Images attached

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